Last week was not one of our best efforts to say the least. We had 10 plays and only won three of them. Sure two were postponed, but doing simple math that means we lost five games. It is getting really frustrating each week, as the cancelations add up. Not only does it make it more difficult to pick games but also wastes everyone’s time. Either way, we went 3-5 last week on the Blog Picks. For the first time ever we didn’t even have any Twitter adds (partially because I was getting murdered in my attempt to wager on college basketball games). That moves are total record for the season to 66-46-2. That breaks down to 44-29-2 on the Blog and 22-17 on Twitter Adds. Still 20 games above .500.
Week 14. Well I won’t sugar coat it. I hate the board. I struggled to put together a large card and for that reason I am settling on a smaller card. Rather give you fewer plays with more winners than force it.
So we only have 6 games (7 plays) for you and that’s it…
Thursday Night
6:00pm – La. Tech @ North Texas +1
What we have here is a situational play. What is the situation you ask? Well there are two.
According to ActionNetwork only 25% of the bets are on North Texas. However, nearly 81% of the money is on North Texas. That means the biggest and sharpest bets are on NT, while the public is betting La Tech.
La Tech has not played a game since…wait for it…HALLOWEEN! I don’t like their odds having to now play a road game against a team with an elite rushing attack.
Let’s follow the sharps for once and hopefully spend our Thursday Night watching The Mean Green run wild. As simple as that….
Prediction: N. Texas 34 La. Tech 30
Saturday
Our Saturday is going to be spent with the two things that have treated us well almost everytime this year so far. Those two things?
MACtion Overs
Georgia Tech Overs
Any questions???
12:00pm – Toledo @ NIU O55.5
Nothing beats week night MACtion, I will give you that. But a nice alternative is an early Saturday Kickoff. Looking for Toledo’s offense to bounce back after last week. Their offense stumbled out of the gates before turning it on late (Costing us the over). Don’t expect that this week. Can’t go 3-0 on MACtion Overs without winning the first. Simple right?
Prediction: Toledo 37 NIU 27
2:00pm – EMU @ WMU O66
Full disclosure I grew up a diehard Buckeyes fan. What comes along with that is hating the whole state of M*chig*n. Especially that team up North. However here we have the battle of the East and the West for our 2-0 MACtion Over record.
Well we found the one thing that will have me cheer for that state…and it’s points in a ball game between the Eagles of EMU and the Broncos of WMU…
Prediction: WMU 44 EMU 30
3:30pm – UB @ Ohio O58.5
UB is a m’fn wrecking ball right now. Who is Ohio to stand in their way. UB carries us to the Over and 3-0 on MACtion Overs for the day.
Has anyone coined the phrase #BULLSMafia?
Prediction: UB 45 Ohio 24
4:00pm – GT @ NC St. O60
GTech is 6-1 to the Over in their last 7. Meaning we are 6-1 on our GTech Overs during that span too. Typically we rely on their poor defense, big plays, and turnovers leading to points. But last week the Yellowjackets exploded for 56 of their own versus Duke. If they have actually started to put the offense together, watch out. May end up talking myself into GTech +6 or even ML. But for now just the OVER…
Prediction: NC St. 40 GT 33
Bonus Play
*These lines are not official on all sites yet, will update*
**If game time changes from 5:30 I will update that too**
5:30pm – BYU @ Coastal C.+9.5 & O61.5
Possibly the only good thing to come out of Covid this football season is it has given us a battle of the unbeatens. BYU and Coastal Carolina get their “BIG GAME” to show out and possibly move closer to a New Year’s Bowl game. To be upfront I was going to take Coastal and the Over versus Liberty too so not much has changed really. Except instead of laying double digits we get nearly 10. I watched the Coastal game at home versus Appy State and they have a strong home field advantage, something rare in 2020. I expect the students to start drinking Friday for this one and be ready to make some noise. While I think BYU probably pulls it off I see Coastal keeping pace and possibly pulling the upset.
So there you have it. A double play on this game. Over and the Dog. Get amongst it…
Prediction: BYU 37 Coastal 33
There they are. That’s all I got for you in Week 14. 7 winners. That is assuming they are all even played. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. I’m sorry I can’t offer more winners right now, it is a sad, sad, sad time. But nonetheless, cheers to having some fun this week and as always if you fade the picks good luck…
Week 12 was our chance at a bounce back week and we did just that. After our first losing week of the season, we were an unreal Cincinnati ending from nearly sweeping the Blog Picks (Not counting the horrible Liberty Over play). For those that missed it, the Bearcats running back took a knee going into the endzone up 3 with around 1:30 left. Heartbreak! But it doesn’t end there because Cinci did not just kneel it out. They ran the ball two more times, half trying to score. Just to be stuffed on the inch line. But wait there is more! They then lined up to go for it on 4th down with 3 seconds left but the snap was bobbled. As you can see I am not quite over that one.
All-in-all the Blog Picks went 6-2 and also had two games postponed. Our lone Twitter play was just about as off as any bet can be. So we ended up with a bounce back 6-3 week.
To update everyone, we are now sitting at 63-41-2 on the season overall.
The breakdown is Blog Picks: 41-24-2 and Twitter Adds: 22-17.
That is not bad at all and for that I am Thankful. Speaking of being Thankful, this week is Thanksgiving and possibly the best week of sports of the year. We have college basketball all over the place, NFL on Thursday, and College Football sprinkled throughout.
The toughest part about handicapping this slate is guessing how teams react to the holiday week. So I made it easy for everyone.
Gimme All Overs.
Feed Me Points!
FRIDAY
3:30pm – ND @ UNC O66.5
Friday afternoon, after Thanksgiving. Probably a little hungover and haven’t eaten yet due to all the calories consumed Thursday. So let’s ease into the week with a high scoring game. It helps that both teams offenses are legit and UNC defense just lends itself to high scoring affairs. If ND could light up Clemson, I just can’t see them not lighting up the Tar Heels here. Time to sit down with a big helping of leftovers and points. What is better than that…
Prediction: ND 40 UNC 34
SATURDAY
Early Slate
12:00pm – Maryland @ Indiana O62.5
Marlyand off of a Covid bye and Indiana off a heartbreaking loss to OSU last week. I see both teams coming out hungry to prove themselves. Remember we can’t hit 9 Overs on Saturday without hitting the first. Loosen your belts and get ready for some points, points, and more points…
Prediction: Indiana 37 Maryland 30
12:00pm – Ball St. @ Toledo O64.5
#MACtion Overs have been our bread and butter so far this season. So let’s keep that heater going…
Prediction: Toledo 47 Ball St. 37
12:00pm – Kent St. @ UB O66.5
As stated above…showing Love to the #MACtion Overs…
Prediction: UB 43 Kent St. 34
Afternoon Slate
3:30pm – Pitt @ Clemson O55
No body and I mean no body likes to create “drama” more than Dabo. His act is getting old quick. However it usually is followed up by a statement from the team. Clemson might try to hit this on their own and Dabo will eat it up…
Prediction: Clemson 45 Pitt 17
3:30pm – Colorado @ USC O64
Despite their record I am still not a believer in USC. For that reason I thought about playing CU in this one but USC keeps finding a way. One thing I do know is that both team’s offenses have been lighting it up. Colorado averages 41.5 ppg and nearly 480 ypg. It is a balanced attack with 258 passing yards per game and 220 Rushing yards per game. USC on the other hand uses more of a passing attack (323.3 per game), but still balances it out with nearly 150 yards on the ground per contest.
In summary, I think both offenses put points on the board and keep STUFFING the stats…
Prediction: USC 42 Colorado 34
4:00pm – Miss St. @ Ole Miss O67
I know. I know. We swore off Mississippi State and their Overs for the season. However you may recall the disclaimer was that the Egg Bowl might draw us out of retirement. Well the Egg Bowl is here. Sometimes we just have to do things that seem dumb at the time but worth it in the end…
Prediction: Ole Miss 44 Miss St. 40
Evening Slate
7:00pm – Duke @ GT O58
Georgia Tech Overs have been a consistant play for us, with much success. Last week we were on the Duke Over and explained our reasons why (including their fast pace). However that was canceled due to Covid. Just don’t see this one being a low scaring game. Side note…
“Hey Covid!”
Prediction: GT 37 Duke 34
7:00pm – LSU @ A&M O64
LSU defense is awful while their offense has started to figure somethings out. If A&M is as good as some think, I need to see their offense thrive in this one. Buckle up for a shootout….
Prediction: A&M 42 LSU 30
7:30pm – Oklahoma @ WVU O55
Last bet of the week. 10th Over in a row. Quite simple here. Not too often you will get an Oklahoma Over this low. Pour yourself a night cap and enjoy some Big 12 Points like the good ol’days…
Prediction: Oklahoma 37 WVU 27
There they are. 10 Winners, All Overs, for Week 13. Based on the past several weeks some may be canceled but let’s be thankful for those that are played. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. Keep in mind there are games all week and also over 100 College Bball games Wednesday/Thursday. Enjoy your Turkey Day if you are lucky enough to spend it with family and friends. For those who are not, let’s just enjoy some college football and making some extra cash. So cheers to having some fun this week and as always if you fade the picks good luck…
Hand up. Last week was on me. After avoiding a losing week all season, it finally happened. What started off as a strong week, came crashing down quicker than Penn State’s season or Harbaugh’s job security. For the first week our Blog Picks absolutely flopped. On our 11 game card we had two cancellations and finished 2-7 (WOOF). The only saving grace was we managed to go 4-2 on the Official Twitter Adds, putting us at 6-9 (Not Nice) for the week.
Despite the piss poor Week 11, we are still 57-38-2 on the season. While that is still pretty solid, it is not where we expected to be exiting last weekend.
We could mope around or go on tilt. But nope. We are going to roll with the punches. Just get back to the basics.
Overs and Winners.
Week 12 is Bounce Back Time….
WEDNESDAY
7:00pm – Toledo @ EMU O61
Q: What better way than to start our bounce back week than with a #MACtion Over?
Prediction: Toledo 40 EMU 34
7:00pm – Western Mich. @ Central Mich. O59.5
A: Starting our bounce back week with 2 #MACtion Overs.
Last week we started off the week with winning back-to-back #MACtion Overs. So let’s start the bounce back off right.
Prediction: CMU 37 WMU 34
SATURDAY
Early Slate
12:00pm – Indiana @ Ohio St. O66
Full disclosure this game has scared me for the Buckeyes since watching the Hoosiers Week 1. Tom Allen is a hell of a coach and has his team inside the Top 10. Who would have thought that Indiana would be one win away from possibly moving into the Top 5 and being a true playoff contender.
However with OSU having their game canceled last week, I think Ryan Day will have his team hungry and ready. The fact that Indiana is undefeated and ranked should eliminate any let down spot (Think Iowa and Purdue from years past).
With that being said, I think the Buckeyes offense comes out humming. Indiana should be able to hang around for a bit and their QB/WR combo should cause some fits.
The game could definitely be closer than my prediction but either way I think it clears the over…
Prediction: OSU 45 Indiana 27
12:00pm – Wake Forest @ Duke O62.5
Two weeks ago we cashed easy on the UNC/Duke Over.
Last week we cashed easy on the UNC/Wake Over.
While UNC isn’t involved here, I saw enough out of each of these teams to trust a high scoring ball game. In part due to the offenses but more so because of all the failures I saw from the defenses.
Prediction: Wake 40 Duke 34
12:00pm – App. St. @ Coastal Carolina O48
Last week we had the Coastal over, but that was taken away from us due to a cancellation. I’d like to think we would have won that one, so we will go back to the well here. Coastal has continued to impress all season. I do think Appalachian State will be their toughest test of the season. This was a spot that I had circled for a possible upset. However much like Ohio State, with the extra week off to prepare I think Coastal avoids the upset. I don’t know if they cover but I do think their offense combined with Appy’s strong rushing attack will lead to enough points. Besides, the best part of a low # Over is it doesn’t have to be pretty or go as planned to get you to the goal…
Prediction: Coastal 34 App. St. 27
Afternoon Slate
3:30pm – Cinci -5.5 @ UCF & O64
Week in and week out Cincinnati comes out and dominates. What was once a team people thought won solely on their defense, has now become one that can outscore anyone. Luke Fickell has found a dual threat QB who has taken this Bearcats team to the next level. We are going to continue to ride them here with a double bet. Cinci covers and Cinci helps get the Over.
UCF has been the dominate AAC team and offense for several years. This year though they have met their match…
Prediction: Cinci 44 UCF 27
3:30pm – Iowa -2.5 @ Penn St.
Simple. I am done believing in Penn State. I am done thinking they will turn it around. I am done believing they have the talent to justify their preseason ranking. I am done expecting a different result from them.
While I am fully aware these words may comeback to haunt me. I am done with them. Go Iowa!
Prediction: Iowa 27 PSU 20
Night Slate
7:00pm – SJSU @ Fresno St. +2.5
Two similar teams with good offenses and strong defenses squaring off in this one. San Jose State comes in undefeated while Fresno has won 4 in row since an opening season loss to Hawaii. In what is nearly a coin flip game we are going to side with the home team. Plus after seeing Pat Hill featured on Barstool Sports Pick Em show, it’s hard not to love Fresno State and believe this team is due for a strong season…
Prediction: Fresno 34 SJSU 31
7:30pm – Liberty @ NC St. O67
Watching Hugh Freeze bring the explosive Ole Miss offense to Liberty has been a bright spot in a season where several of our favorite “Over Teams” have failed us. We have also won several NC St. plays this season. This is just a bet based on my respect for Liberty’s offense and my knowledge that NC St. should score a bunch just based on having superior talent. Buckle up and enjoy this one…
Prediction: NC St. 40 Liberty 37
There they are. 10 Winners for Week 12. Fingers crossed all 10 are played. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. With all the stress, hate, anger…etc. going on in the world, let’s just enjoy some college football and making some extra cash. So cheers to having some fun this week and as always if you fade the picks good luck…
Well, well, well, will you look at that. We went with a big card last week and Week 10 proved to be yet another winner for us. As the season rolls along so do the winners. To recap, the Blog picks went 7-4 and our Official Twitter Adds went 4-2. That was good for an 11-6 record, which was an 0-3 late slate from being a truly special Saturday. However, this moves the year-to-date total to 51-29-2.
22 games over .500?! Yes we will take that. But we are just beginning.
Unfortunately Week 11 has gotten off to a poor start. Not in terms of wins or losses but instead in games being impacted by Covid-19. So far I have started three different blogs for Week 11 and each time I finish a game it get’s cancelled due to the S.O.B. virus. Had some great picks and writeups in the draft all ready for the following games:
Alabama @ LSU
Texas A&M @ Tennessee
Memphis @ Navy
Georgia @ Missouri
Alas, those winners will never be known and that money will never be in our wallets. With more and more cases sweeping the nation, I hope the cancellations are done for the week. Since I can’t be sure, I want to get these picks out to you asap and go from there. So let’s keep this short and to the point. Don’t worry though, while it may be short I will still get the point across.
FRIDAY
7:00pm – Iowa @ Minnesota +3.5
Last week we tailed Iowa to the easiest win of the week as they absolutely destroyed Michigan State. In a similar way we faded MSU last week off a big win, we are going to fade the Hawkeyes this week. The Gophers finally got a “W” last week and look for them to make it two in a row at home. Taking the short dog Friday night…
Prediction: Minnesota 34 Iowa 31
SATURDAY
12:00pm – Wake Forest @ UNC O66
Much like Iowa, UNC gave us an easy win last week. As they carried the Over in their blowout of Duke. It has shown often this season that the Tar Heels offense is very good, while their defense is not. Wake is coming off of their bye week and should have fresh legs and some trick plays dialed up. We just need them to try to keep up in this one and help get some points.
Prediction: UNC 42 Wake 33
12:00pm – Penn St. -3 @ Nebraska
Two teams with zero wins. Hard to believe that would be the case when the schedule came out. While maybe some could have seen it coming for Nebraska, never would they have though Penn State would be winless. Preseason top 10 team at 0-3?! Just going to go with the value here and assume the Nittany Lions get on track against a lesser team. If they don’t it could get ugly quick in State College (something they are used to off the field).
Penn State wins and covers. Congrats you finally did it!
Prediction: PSU 37 Nebraska 28
12:00pm – Coastal Carolina @ Troy O53
Unlike some other teams, we lost last week on the Coastal Over. We are going to try it again though. Coastal has been cruising this season and see them getting the offense back on track against a below average Troy defense. Troy should be able to help out in this one as they average nearly 30ppg and feature a solid QB in Gunnar Watson.
The Chanticleers win on the way to the Over and take another step towards trying to show they belong at the big boy table.
Prediction: Coastal 37 Troy 30
3:00pm – L’Ville @ Virginia O66.5
This is a game I had circled last week for the Over, but was unfortunately postponed due to Covid 19. Well nothing has changed in my thoughts here. Both teams feature balanced offenses that can gash you on the ground or air it deep. Good old fashioned track meet in this one…
Prediction: UVA 40 L’Ville 37
3:30pm – ND @ BC +13.5
This one is simple. We are looking for a letdown spot. Notre Dame is coming off of possibly their biggest victory in a decade plus, after upsetting Clemson. Assuming their entire team doesn’t have Covid 19 from storming the field, they should be able to take the field Saturday. I’d expect them to come out a little flat and possibly overlook Boston College. You have to imagine it will be tough to get up for this one after a week of celebrating. Plus the Golden Eagles must be chomping at the bit for another chance at an upset after blowing the lead to Clemson a couple weeks ago. I think this one is close throughout but BC comes up just short (Still cover)…
Prediction: ND 30 BC 24
6:30pm – Nevada @ New Mexico O62.5
Nevada = 511.7 yards per game – 397 passing – 114.7 rushing
New Mexico = 471 yards per game – 257 passing – 214 rushing
Two teams putting up a lot of yards, featuring balanced offenses is a recipe for points. In a season we are looking for new over teams thanks to swearing off Mike Leach and Texas Tech…maybe we found some new friends…
Prediction: Nevada 45 New Mexico 30
7:00pm – Pitt @ GTech O51
We had a heck of a run betting GTech overs. So why not go back to the well. This won’t be the typical style that get’s you to an over and it might not pretty at all times. But in the end it’ll be fun.
Prediction: Pitt 34 GT 27
7:00pm – Arkansas +17.5 @ Florida
Arkansas has yet to lose Against The Spread in 2020 and we have tailed that a few times. No reason to stop now. Coach Pittman has the Razorbacks playing hard every week. Assuming that continues, they should be able to hang for awhile with Florida. Especially with Florida coming off a huge win over Georgia last week. I’d love to see the upset but in the end I expect the Razorbacks to fall short and realize they aren’t quite on the level of Florida…yet
Prediction: Florida 34 Arkansas 24
7:00pm – SMU @ Tulsa O64
Won’t waste your time with stats or reasoning. This is a bet it and forget it game. Just check the box score and see all the stats and points at the end.
Two high scoring teams fighting it out to see who can hit 40 first.
Prediction: Tulsa 40 SMU 38
7:30pm – FSU @ NC St. -7.5
I think people thought FSU had turned it around when they upset then #5 North Carolina. Unfortunately they then proceeded to lost by 32 to Louisville and 24 to Pitt. While I do think their coach will get this thing turned around in time, this ain’t the time yet. After a rough loss (44-41) to Miami last week, I think NC State uses this as a get right game for the team and their new QB. Sorry FSU you just aren’t there yet…
Prediction: NC St. 37 FSU 27
There they are. 11 Winners for Week 11. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. With all the stress, hate, anger…etc. going on in the world, let’s just enjoy some college football and making some extra cash. So lets have some fun this week and as always if you fade them good luck…
Well, well, well. Another winning week for us in Week 9. Just think, we were one kicker injury in State College from getting the Over home, instead it ended on the number (63). But we are not going to complain about a week finishing in the green. To recap, we finished up at 6-2-1 on our blog picks last week. Add in a 2-2 on official Twitter plays and you get an 8-4-1 Week 9. That pushes us to 40-23-2 for the season. If you have been following along…
Now though, the waiting is over. We have everyone back to the party (Sorry UCONN)! #MACtion returned with a bang last night. So many points, turnovers, missed kicks, and even a power outage. Everything that is pure about the MAC, all on a night where people needed a break from staring at a map. Saturday we have the return of the Pac 12, which not only gives us a handful of more games each week. But more importantly it gives us some more late night bail out games. Nothing like betting an Oregon or UCLA Over at 11pm EST.
Now it is time to turn our attention to Week 10. A full slate equals a full heart. And as Coach Taylor famously said…
FRIDAY
7:30pm – Miami @ NC State O59
Let’s start off the week with some Friday night action. First we will look at Miami. The Hurricanes added quarterback D’Eriq King this season after he transferred in from Houston. King has lived up to the hype so far, having thrown for 1,401 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has also ran for 301 yards and two touchdowns. It is a good thing too, since they have not been able to get the rushing attack going this season. A good recipe to fix this is a poor NC State rush defense that gives up big plays.
Unfortunately for the Wolfpack their quarterback went down with an injury and they have not had any success with the replacements. I would expect them to try to also get their running game going. While Miami does have a strong defense, running defense is definitely their weakness.
So let’s get this straight. If we expect lots of running and one team has poor QB play, why would Over be the play. Well its Friday night and who wants to cheer for punts. Seriously though, I expect some home run plays in this one. A few long runs. A few deep balls off of play action. And you can always count on King for a couple highlight plays.
So grab a cold one. Sit back and enjoy some points under the Friday Night Lights
Final Prediction: Miami 38 NC State 30
9:45pm – BYU @ Boise State O61
This right here is a must watch game. An undefeated BYU team brings their high flying offense and stingy defense into Boise, to square off with the undefeated Broncos. While Boise has only played two games thus far, their offense looks to be humming along too. Neither team’s offensive success is due to playing overly fast, however it is due to scoring in the redzone and finishing drives. Honestly though we are taking the over because
BYU 44.4 points per game
+
Boise State 45.5 points per game
+
the Blue Turf
=
Friday Night Fun…
Final Prediction: BYU 37 Boise State 34
SATURDAY
12:00pm – Arizona St. @ USC 1H U29
We are going to kick off our Saturday doing something we have never done before. Not only are we going to take an Under (Hurts to type) but we are taking a 1H under. It kills me to make this the first play of Pac 12 season but hear me out. This game is kicking off at 9am their time. We are banking on a slow start from two rusty teams. It doesn’t hurt that both teams are returning 8 starters on defense and many of their top tacklers. Closing our eyes here and cheering against points (yuck)…
First Half Prediction: USC 13 Arizona St. 10
12:00pm – Mich. St. @ Iowa -7
*Looks like 6.5 may pop up so monitor*
Let’s just add a little more stress to our noon slate. If it wasn’t bad enough to take an under we are now going after a rat line. Much like last week when we focused on spots the books looked to be trying to trick us, this plays the part. An 0-2 Iowa team favored by a touchdown against a Spartans team coming off the win in the Big House? It makes so little sense that the only thing that makes sense is taking the Hawkeyes in this one. Might have to start drinking early this week…
Final Prediction: Iowa 30 Mich. St. 20
2:00pm – BC @ Syracuse O52.5
Thanks to betting Clemson Overs we have had the chance to watch both of these teams. Despite playing against a far superior opponent and one of the best defenses in the country, I like what I saw out of each team’s offenses/quarterbacks. Each team showed the ability to move the ball, throw it deep, and get a few big hitters. Also each team turns the ball over from time-to-time, which can lead to short fields, scoop and scores, and pick 6’s. Honestly we have done quite well on our ACC Overs this season and am going to keep it going on them…
Final Prediction: BC 42 Syracuse 24
3:30pm – Kansas @ Oklahoma O63
This one is quite simple so let’s not over think it. Kansas is awful. They were a team this year you simply just bet against and watched them get blown out. With the spreads continuing to climb (38/39 here), we instead are going to focus on the total here. Oklahoma has quietly got things rolling on offense, as Spencer Rattler comes into his own. I see zero reason to think things slow down here. Taking the -38 is tempting here but you always fear the backdoor (That’s what she said) in garbage time. So let’s just ride the Sooners to carry us. They might get damn close on their own…
…and if they do…
Final Prediction: Oklahoma 55 Kansas 17
3:30pm – Maryland @ PSU O63.5
This right here is a spot we are taking the Over because it feels like the spot for Penn State to get an offensive explosion. Week 1 they out performed Indiana across the board on offense but were undone by turnovers. In Week 2 they had the unfortunate task of playing the Buckeyes. Luckily for them, this week they get to welcome the Terps to Happy Valley. Maryland gave up 44 to Minnesota last week and see know reason why the Nittany Lions can’t replicate that success. On the other side, last week looked like Taulia Tagovailoa’s coming out party. He passed for 394yds and rushed for another 59yds, while tallying 5 TD’s. While Penn State is a step up in competition, I’d expect Maryland to still have some offensive success.
Put that all together and 63.5 looks real good….
Final Prediction: PSU 45 Maryland 27
3:30pm – Houston @ Cincinnati -13.5
The last two weeks Cincinnati had back-to-back “prove it” games against the AAC Elites. The results…
Cinci 42 SMU 13
Cinci 49 Memphis 10
I would say that qualifies as proving themselves. Next up, the Houston Cougars. This right here is another prove it type game but in a different way. This is a chance to show they won’t get caught in a let down spot. I believe the Coach Fickell has the Bearcats ready to go at home this weekend and they lay it on Houston.
The biggest fear here is we have not had luck on Houston games the last several weeks. We bet them they lose. We fade them, they win. We bet Over last week, they let us down. So far this season I have already had to retire two of my favorite betting teams for the year (Texas Tech and Miss St/Leach). I don’t want to have to do that to my other favorite, Houston. So don’t let us down or…
Final Prediction: Cinci 42 Houston 20
4:00pm – Oklahoma St. @ Kansas St. +13
Two teams coming off of tough losses. Oklahoma State lost a heartbreaker to Texas last week, potentially ending their playoff dreams. On the other hand Kansas State got blown out by West Virginia on the road.
What we have here is two angry teams trying to bounce back. I expect both teams to show up, play hard and for a competitive game. Have to take the points in what should be a close game between two hungry teams with their pride on the line…
Final Prediction: Ok. St. 24 KSU 20
7:30pm – Tennessee @ Arkansas +2
In a game between two comparable teams I typically look at two factors.
First the quarterbacks. I give a strong edge to Felipe Franks (Something i never thought I’d type a few years ago) over Jarrett Guarantano. Tennessee fans have been clamoring for a QB change that just hasn’t happened. On the other hand Hogs fans have to be estatic with what they have gotten out of Franks thus far.
Secondly, and most importantly is coaching. On paper the edge here would probably go to highly coveted Jeremy Pruitt over the non “Sexy” hire Arkansas made when hiring Sam Pittman. However some times it’s not your previous resume or if you were the “Hot hire”…it is what you can get out of your team. Thus far Pittman has coached the hell out of his team and I expect him to do that once again Saturday night…
Final Prediction: Arkansas 30 Tennessee 27
10:30pm – Washington St. @ Oregon St. -1.5
Ahh the Saturday late night Pac 12 games. Oh how we have missed you. Let’s start off with a winner by backing the Beavers here. Oregon State came off a successful (for OSU) season last year where they nearly made a bowl game. Looking to build on this, Oregon State will feature a legit running back in Jermar Jefferson. Jefferson has over 2,000 yards over the last two seasons. Taking the snaps will be a former 4-Star recruit, transfer QB Tristan Gebbia. If Gebbia starts to live up to his recruiting ranks, he will pair nicely with Jefferson.
Wazzu on the other hand has a few things working against them here. First off they have a new coach coming in who has to replace an entire offensive system. Mike Leach has been running the air raid for years and many of the leftover players were recruited for that system. Secondly, the Cougars will be bringing a true freshman QB (Jayden de Laura) to open the season on the road.
Let’s take the Beavers in this late night tilt and finish off a strong Week 10. If you followed along and made it this far…
Final Prediction: Oregon St. 33 Wazzu 24
There they are. 11 Winners for Week 10. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. With all the stress, hate, anger…etc. going on in the world, let’s just enjoy some college football and making some extra cash. So lets have some fun this week and as always if you fade them good luck…
Well it felt great to get back at it last week. And boy did it have a little bit of everything. We started off the week on Friday thinking we got the loss, only to realize we pushed at 59. Saturday saw us losing both starting QB’s in Texas Tech/K State…NOT GREAT for the over. It also saw us hit the Texas/TCU Over on a last second intentional safety…GREAT.
Combine that with the joy of over 80 points in Kentucky and the misery of watching Memphis/SMU forget how to score in the 2h….and what do you get?
A wonderful Fall Saturday of College Football. Nothing is better and there is no debating it.
So after the 4-3-1 week, we move to 11-4-1 on the season. It is really early and we won’t get ahead of ourselves but it is something to build on. As we move to Week 6, remember to enjoy it because the season will FLY by.
Saturday Early Slate
12:00pm: Florida @ Texas A&M O58.5
Florida has not let us down yet on the Over, as they still average nearly 45ppg. Texas A&M is coming off of giving up 52 to Bama last week. While Florida’s offense might not be quite as good a the Tide’s, it’s not that far off. On the other hand Bama’s defense is superior to Florida’s, and A&M managed 24 points last week. Based on these facts, do you think I am taking the Over here?
Final Prediction: Florida 37 Texas A&M 31
12:00pm: Texas @ Oklahoma O72.5
The Red River Rivalry!!!! Sure it won’t be the same without the packed stadium and fair in town. Sure both teams are coming off losses and some of the excitement has been lessoned. But you know what, I am a positive guy. And positive vibes say both teams still have explosive offenses and awful defenses. Combine that with both coaches being desperate and the Red River Rivalry might just have to change its name back to the Shootout. This one get’s the big TV at noon and I am PUMPED.
Final Prediction: Oklahoma 44 Texas 41
Afternoon Slate
4:00pm: Kansas State +8@ TCU
Don’t have a lot to say here. I just know that over the years taking Kansas State as a dog in these spots has paid off. It goes back to Snyder ball and I think it carries over to Saturday. I know what you are thinking…”TCU just beat Texas!” It’s called a let down spot people. It might not be easy but I am rolling with the Wildcats to stay inside the number. Just…
Final Prediction: TCU 27 KSU 24
Evening Slate
7:30pm: Alabama @ Ole Miss O69
Kickoff has been moved back due to the looming hurricane. High liklihood of rain and weather. The number here has bounced between mid-60’s and mid-70’s. So basically alot of questions and variables here. Well the only variables I care about are these.
-Bama and Saban should be able to score at will
-Saban may have a little extra motivation to run it up on Lane
-Lane is Lane. He will pull out all the tricks and stay trying to score until the final whistle.
Plus who really knows about the weather this far out anyways.
Final Prediction: Alabama 52 Ole Miss 27
7:30pm: Miss. St. +2.5 @ Kentucky and O57.5
Everyone and their mother jumped off the Mississippi State bandwagon after last week’s inexcusable loss to Arkansas. Tough to blame them but call me stubborn. I think they are closer to who they were versus LSU than who they were last week. I think the Bulldogs win this outright and hit the Over on the way. And if you think this is just me blindly following our hero Mike Leach (You may be right), well…
Final Prediction: Miss. St 38 Kentucky 34
7:30pm: Miami @ Clemson -14
Earlier in the week I started talking myself into Miami. I started to believe the U was back. They crushed FSU! They crushed Louisville! Clemson always struggles once a year, why not here? I even told my buddy to consider Miami moneyline.
But then I realized that FSU stinks! Louisville stinks! and this is not a lookahead or overlook spot for Clemson. It is actually just the opposite. This is one of the few opportunities for the Tigers to show out versus a legit ACC opponent. So with that being said I think Clemson over powers and rolls easy. I just hope my friend didn’t listen to me on Monday and held off. I he didn’t I apologize.
Final Prediction: Clemson 47 Miami 20
There they are. 7 winners to take your mind off of election season and just how f’d we are here in the US of A. As always, make sure you follow the ol’Twitter (@BetOppositeOfMe) for additional adds, although some of those may be after a few adult recreational beverages. Odds are I will be adding the Houston Over tonight but just waiting on the weather reports. So lets have some fun this week and as always if you fade them good luck
BetOppositeOfMe 